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Weekly Trend Models

POSTED: August 11, 2012

The charts that follow are some of the fasting growing companies in America. Finding a promising stock in a hot sector is only half the battle. The other half is knowing when to hold onto the big winners, knowing what to do when the stock’s price action flashes a yellow warning and maybe most important of all, knowing when to buy back in when the light turns green.

This is the essence of a successful trend following trading system. It is what has made billions of dollars in gains for some of the most heralded fund managers on Wall Street and it is the heart and soul of AllanTrends.

Below is a sample of how Weekly Trend Models can be used to navigate in and out of a sampling of high flying stocks over the past few years. All of these stocks were hitting all time highs soon after the 2008 bear market that cut the legs out of the stock market with a 50% decline. Coming out of a major stock market bottom at the head of the pack is a highly reliable tell that there is something special about this stock. The trend line generated by our algorithm determines when the stock should be held, when  caution is warranted and when it’s time to get back in.

This is the essence of trend following and trend following is the essence of AllanTrends.

AAPL Weekly Trend Model

ALXN Weekly Trend Model

CTRX Weekly Trend Model

ALGN Weekly Trend Model

RGR Weekly Trend Model

WPI Weekly Trend Model

VAL Weekly Trend Model

EW Weekly Trend Model



Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. The trend line shown on these charts is the same one generated on all of  Allantrends’s portfolio stocks, indexes and etf’s, while the stocks chosen above are merely illustrations of how the algorithm and trend line interact with dynamic trending stocks. Stock trading/investing involves risk and you can lose some or all of your investment. Hypothetical or backtested results may not always be duplicated in the real world. Backtesting can at times produce an unintended look-ahead bias. In addition, hypothetical trading does not involve financial risk, and no hypothetical trading record can completely account for the impact of financial risk in actual trading, not the least of which is the ability to withstand losses or to adhere to a particular trading strategy in spite of trading losses. These are material points which can also adversely affect actual trading results.

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